Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000915 0.001053 0.001193 0.001345 0.001505 0.001667 0.001844
2025-07-06 0.000778 0.000982 0.001195 0.001434 0.001691 0.001958 0.002254
2025-07-13 0.000593 0.000835 0.001100 0.001404 0.001741 0.002097 0.002499
2025-07-20 0.000426 0.000688 0.000989 0.001346 0.001750 0.002186 0.002684
2025-07-27 0.000342 0.000627 0.000967 0.001382 0.001859 0.002379 0.002980
2025-08-03 0.000250 0.000542 0.000908 0.001368 0.001906 0.002501 0.003195
2025-08-10 0.000149 0.000427 0.000801 0.001289 0.001874 0.002529 0.003302
2025-08-17 0.000089 0.000353 0.000739 0.001257 0.001891 0.002610 0.003464
2025-08-24 0.000033 0.000263 0.000643 0.001177 0.001846 0.002615 0.003538
2025-08-31 0.000010 0.000216 0.000601 0.001162 0.001875 0.002704 0.003705
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.000189 0.000585 0.001177 0.001940 0.002832 0.003915
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000144 0.000535 0.001144 0.001942 0.002886 0.004037
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000108 0.000503 0.001150 0.002014 0.003045 0.004311
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000103 0.000528 0.001237 0.002192 0.003335 0.004742
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000064 0.000476 0.001213 0.002226 0.003454 0.004976
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000028 0.000409 0.001160 0.002222 0.003524 0.005152
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000017 0.000401 0.001195 0.002331 0.003733 0.005490
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000004 0.000366 0.001182 0.002376 0.003861 0.005733
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000297 0.001109 0.002336 0.003883 0.005847
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000258 0.001080 0.002352 0.003973 0.006041
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000199 0.001005 0.002301 0.003976 0.006130
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000175 0.000991 0.002334 0.004084 0.006342
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000165 0.001005 0.002407 0.004241 0.006613